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UID:0-7709@eng.ufl.edu
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250924T114500
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250924T123500
DTSTAMP:20250902T173802Z
URL:https://www.eng.ufl.edu/news-events/events/w3-seminar-modeling-the-imp
 acts-of-land-use-and-climate-change-to-coastal-foodwebs-and-fisheries/
SUMMARY:W3 Seminar: Modeling the impacts of land use and climate change to 
 coastal foodwebs and fisheries
DESCRIPTION:Speaker:\nHolden Harris\, Researcher\, UF IFAS Nature Coast Bio
 logical Station\nTitle:\nA journey down the watershed-to-estuary continuum
 : Modeling the impacts of land use and climate change to coastal foodwebs 
 and fisheries\nAbstract:\nIn this seminar\, we’ll journey along the “w
 atershed-to-estuary continuum” to examine how upstream changes in land u
 se and climate ultimately impact estuary foodwebs\, fisheries\, and the pe
 ople who depend on them.\nOur first stop will be an examination of case st
 udies for changes observed in Gulf of Mexico estuaries\, where we’ll pul
 l ashore to examine an updated conceptual model of how water quality links
  upstream and downstream components. Through real-world examples\, we’ll
  see how changes in water quality can lead to the collapse of foundational
  species\, damage ecosystem functioning and services\, and major stakehold
 er conflicts.\nOur primary voyage will dive into research from cross-disci
 plinary researchers across UF to develop an end-to-end modeling framework 
 of the Suwannee River estuary and watershed. This cross-disciplinary frame
 work linked a basin-scale hydrology model (SWAT–MODFLOW)\, a data-statis
 tical Estuary Linkage Model\, and a spatial-temporal dynamic foodweb model
  (the Suwannee River Estuary Model\; SREM). With these linked models\, we 
 simulated 30 future land use and climate scenarios that were co-developed 
 with stakeholders.\nWe’ll dedicate time to the ecological modeling leg o
 f our journey\, specifically exploring how we linked the SREM to downstrea
 m hydrological drivers and applied it to simulate population and community
  changes under future scenarios. In particular\, we’ll consider the rela
 tionship of nutrients and phytoplankton: how these both drive the primary 
 productivity in the system and shade out seagrasses\, which provide critic
 al habitat to many species.\nAs we return to dock\, we’ll reflect on how
  our approaches can improve the predictive capacity of modeling forecasts\
 , explore ecological and socioeconomic trade-offs\, and inform management 
 decisions related to water resources and coastal resilience.
CATEGORIES:Seminars
LOCATION:Phelps Lab Room 101\, 1953 Museum Road\, Gainesville\, FL\, 32611\
 , United States
X-APPLE-STRUCTURED-LOCATION;VALUE=URI;X-ADDRESS=1953 Museum Road\, Gainesvi
 lle\, FL\, 32611\, United States;X-APPLE-RADIUS=100;X-TITLE=Phelps Lab Roo
 m 101:geo:0,0
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